← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539665
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?
6.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (46.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$32
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72 / $3
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%