← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539666
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
28.0% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 29.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 33.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 28.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-6.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$25
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$223 / $63
Imbalance19% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.03
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d1.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%