← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539667
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?
46.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 48.0¢
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The market prices this at 45.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,234
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$169 / $244
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h-2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%