← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539668
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?
10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$178
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$89 / $421
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 30 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.71
RSI (14, hourly)30.0
Realized vol 7d1.27pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%