← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539672

Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?

11.9% implied · bid 7.6¢ · ask 16.2¢

The market prices this at 6.3%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 8.6¢ spread.

Implied probability6.3%

Bid / ask / mid7.6¢ / 16.2¢ / 11.9¢

Spread8.6¢ (72.3%)

Change 24h+1.15pt

Change 7d+1.25pt

Thin (score 7/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $17

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score7.0 / 100

RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.49

RSI (14, hourly)49.0

Realized vol 7d0.81pt

Change 1h-1.45pt

Resolves in 6d 11h.

Time to resolve6d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%