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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539673

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?

29.0% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 30.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 36.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability36.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 58% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,451
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$849 / $124
Imbalance58% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 13 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.12
RSI (14, hourly)13.3
Realized vol 7d0.73pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 11h.

Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth