← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539674
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
42.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
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The market prices this at 44.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 42.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 53% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$4,529
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$556 / $525
Imbalance53% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.49
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d0.42pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%