← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539675
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?
17.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$698
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $56
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.95
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%