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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539685

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?

5.0% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 5.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (120.0%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-30.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$91
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $4
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.77
RSI (14, hourly)45.8
Realized vol 7d3.97pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 11h.

Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth