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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539686

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?

13.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 13.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (30.8%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$138
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $11
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.19
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d1.00pt
Change 1h-1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 11h.

Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth