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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539687

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?

52.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 53.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 52.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 52.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$569
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$347 / $170
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 10h.

Time to resolve6d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth