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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539688

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?

30.0% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 30.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.7%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d+5.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 57% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$358
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,132 / $73
Imbalance57% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 45 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.00
RSI (14, hourly)45.5
Realized vol 7d1.03pt
Change 1h+2.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 11h.

Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth