← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539694
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% in August?
4.7% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 8.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.5%, down 4.3pt over 24h, on a 7.7¢ spread.
Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 8.5¢ / 4.7¢
Spread7.7¢ (165.6%)
Change 24h-4.30pt
Change 7d+2.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 12/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $6
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score11.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 45 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.40
RSI (14, hourly)44.6
Realized vol 7d2.10pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%