Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539694

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% in August?

4.7% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 8.5¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.5%, down 4.3pt over 24h, on a 7.7¢ spread.

Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 8.5¢ / 4.7¢
Spread7.7¢ (165.6%)
Change 24h-4.30pt
Change 7d+2.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 12/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $6
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score11.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 45 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.40
RSI (14, hourly)44.6
Realized vol 7d2.10pt
Change 1h-0.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 11h.

Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth