← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539695
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August?
33.0% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 36.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 33.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $42
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 78 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.88
RSI (14, hourly)77.8
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 9h.
Time to resolve5d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%