← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539696
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
48.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 49.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+5.00pt
Change 7d+4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,096
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$322 / $489
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.21
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d0.79pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%