← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3539697
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August?
12.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$386
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$80 / $113
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 19 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.61
RSI (14, hourly)19.0
Realized vol 7d1.05pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 11h.
Time to resolve6d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%