← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3553883
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
27.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 27.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability27.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 53% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$782 / $1,148
Imbalance53% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.59pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%