← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3553884
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
31.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 32.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 82% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$773 / $1,115
Imbalance82% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.93
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%