← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3553886
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
27.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 27.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability27.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$17
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$254 / $605
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.15
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%