← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3553887
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
32.5% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 33.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 32.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$104 / $1,082
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.96
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%