← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3554355
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
80.0% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 82.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 78.0%, up 14.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 80.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (5.0%)
Change 24h+14.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$846
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$129 / $1,734
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 80 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.37
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d1.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 9h.
Time to resolve56d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%