← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3554657
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
77.0% implied · bid 76.0¢ · ask 78.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 78.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid76.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 77.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-9.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,493
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,459 / $1,140
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.49
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d3.54pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 9h.
Time to resolve56d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%