← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3554982
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
60.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 61.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, up 29.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+29.00pt
Change 7d+15.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,777
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$222 / $557
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.27
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.95pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 9h.
Time to resolve56d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%