← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3561916
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
48.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 49.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.0%, down 13.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-13.50pt
Change 7d+29.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$37,487
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,796 / $1,137
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score47.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.37
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d3.72pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%