← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562248
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
8.0% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d-8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,041
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$410 / $264
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 87 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d1.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 6h.
Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%