← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562249
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, up 9.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h+9.00pt
Change 7d+8.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,453
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$340 / $3,264
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.92
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d2.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 6h.
Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%