← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562250

Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?

48.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

The market prices this at 49.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%

Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 48.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (6.2%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d+6.00pt

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,720

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,306 / $2,452

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.9 / 100

RSI 29 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.78

RSI (14, hourly)28.6

Realized vol 7d1.10pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 8d 7h.

Time to resolve8d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%