← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562255

Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?

0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.5¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.2¢ (50.0%)

Change 24h-1.45pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,391

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $2

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.46

RSI (14, hourly)23.0

Realized vol 7d1.09pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 8d 6h.

Time to resolve8d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%