← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562256
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?
29.0% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-12.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,300
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$433 / $486
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.38
RSI (14, hourly)11.1
Realized vol 7d1.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 6h.
Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%