← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562257
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
53.0% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 54.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 53.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+6.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,337
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$614 / $1,251
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 32 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.10
RSI (14, hourly)31.8
Realized vol 7d0.96pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 6h.
Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%