← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562258

Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?

15.0% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

The market prices this at 15.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%

Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h-6.00pt

Change 7d+2.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,264

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$97 / $448

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score40.3 / 100

RSI 69 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.48

RSI (14, hourly)68.6

Realized vol 7d2.11pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 8d 6h.

Time to resolve8d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%