← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562364
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?
67.0% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 68.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 68.0¢ / 67.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.0%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+7.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,501
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$620 / $2,472
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.32
RSI (14, hourly)92.3
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%