← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562365
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
25.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 26.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$43
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$805 / $1,037
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%