← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3562366

Will Christian Democrats (KD) win at least 9% of all valid votes?

1.3% implied · bid 0.7¢ · ask 1.8¢

The market prices this at 2.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.7¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.3¢

Spread1.1¢ (88.0%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d-2.85pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$50

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $37

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.5 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.23

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.25pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 8d 6h.

Time to resolve8d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%