← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3572982
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,117
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$420 / $748
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.16
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%