← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3573015

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

18.0% implied · bid 4.3¢ · ask 31.7¢

The market prices this at 11.9%, down 4.1pt over 24h, on a 27.4¢ spread.

Implied probability11.9%

Bid / ask / mid4.3¢ / 31.7¢ / 18.0¢

Spread27.4¢ (152.2%)

Change 24h-4.05pt

Change 7d+9.95pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,547

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 68 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.50

RSI (14, hourly)68.3

Realized vol 7d4.59pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 117d 5h.

Time to resolve117d 5h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%