← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3580932
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
93.0% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 94.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,366
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,761 / $14,489
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.86
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 299d 6h.
Time to resolve299d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%