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Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?

89.4% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 91.8¢

The market prices this at 88.9%, down 7.2pt over 24h, on a 4.8¢ spread.

Implied probability88.9%

Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 91.8¢ / 89.4¢

Spread4.8¢ (5.4%)

Change 24h-7.15pt

Change 7d+0.65pt

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 89% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$12,935

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$123 / $530

Imbalance89% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score26.3 / 100

RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.76

RSI (14, hourly)42.1

Realized vol 7d2.15pt

Change 1h+19.90pt

Resolves in 299d 6h.

Time to resolve299d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%