← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3667935
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?
3.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.1%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability3.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.8¢ (22.9%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,035
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$185 / $212
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.37
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 10d 9h.
Time to resolve10d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%