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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3667935

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?

3.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.1%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability3.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.8¢ (22.9%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-3.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,035
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$185 / $212
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.37
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 10d 9h.

Time to resolve10d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth