← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3667936
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
30.0% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, up 17.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.7%)
Change 24h+17.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$6,057
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$688 / $799
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.40
RSI (14, hourly)92.1
Realized vol 7d1.70pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 9h.
Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%