← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3667937
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
77.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 78.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 77.0%, up 14.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 77.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+14.00pt
Change 7d+5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,540
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$707 / $585
Imbalance29% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 97 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.84
RSI (14, hourly)96.9
Realized vol 7d2.35pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 9h.
Time to resolve56d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%