← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3669876
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
89.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 91.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.4%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 69% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$57
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$357 / $1,959
Imbalance69% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 86d 10h.
Time to resolve86d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%