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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3669979

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?

53.0% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 54.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 54.0%, up 6.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 53.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+6.50pt
Change 7d-4.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,662
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$627 / $620
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score40.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 17 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.31
RSI (14, hourly)16.7
Realized vol 7d2.65pt
Change 1h-3.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth