← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3670499
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
57.5% implied · bid 57.0¢ · ask 58.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 58.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid57.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,322
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,625 / $8,468
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.18
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 207d 5h.
Time to resolve207d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%