← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3685346

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 23, 2026?

3.8% implied · bid 0.7¢ · ask 6.9¢

The market prices this at 0.8%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 6.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.7¢ / 6.9¢ / 3.8¢

Spread6.2¢ (163.2%)

Change 24h+0.90pt

Change 7d+1.50pt

Thin (score 19/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $12

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score19.0 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51

RSI (14, hourly)56.9

Realized vol 7d0.71pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 18d 9h.

Time to resolve18d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%