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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3685347

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 24, 2026?

4.1% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 7.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.2%, up 3.4pt over 24h, on a 7.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 7.7¢ / 4.1¢
Spread7.2¢ (175.6%)
Change 24h+3.40pt
Change 7d+2.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 14/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $3
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score14.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 59 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.21
RSI (14, hourly)58.9
Realized vol 7d1.20pt
Change 1h+0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 19d 9h.

Time to resolve19d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth