← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3685353
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?
5.8% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 6.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.1%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.1%
Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 6.8¢ / 5.8¢
Spread2.0¢ (34.5%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$66 / $35
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.31
RSI (14, hourly)53.8
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h-0.40pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 9h.
Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%