← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3685354
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
68.5% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 69.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 69.0%, down 16.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability69.0%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-16.50pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,062
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$244 / $369
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 3 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.23
RSI (14, hourly)2.9
Realized vol 7d1.87pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 9h.
Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%