← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3701690
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$108,444
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,347 / $1,749
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%