← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3702045
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,201
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,955 / $4,460
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score49.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.08
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 17d 11h.
Time to resolve17d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%